What actually wins · Ireland
What actually wins at Tralee
1,252 races, 7,408 runs and 120 meetings from 28 October 2025 to 27 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 27 October 2026.
The short version
- There is no trap worth backing blind at Tralee: every box wins within 15% of its even-chance share over 7,408 runs.
- Over 297m the draw matters most: trap 2 takes 21.2% of those races.
- Favourites win 29.3% of races at Tralee at an average 3.14 and lose money at starting price (-13.1% on level stakes).
- Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 29.7% of the time here, against 13.0% for the rest.
- A quick break wins 13.1% of the time; a slow one 3.4%.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.9-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 6,140 | 16.2% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| 297m | 714 | 13.2% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| 503m | 222 | 10.8% | 23.7% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 13.5% |
| 521m | 184 | 16.1% | 6.7% | 16.1% | 25.8% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Tralee already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 78 | 46 | 59.0% | -8.0% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 2,254 | 406 | 18.0% | -45.9% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 2,305 | 283 | 12.3% | -44.8% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 1,121 | 80 | 7.1% | -52.2% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 418 | 15 | 3.6% | -61.8% |
How races are run
From 7,312 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 29.7% of their races here; everyone else 13.0%.
| Quick away | 122 | 13.1% |
| Level break | 1,515 | 4.1% |
| Slowly away | 1,062 | 3.4% |
| Very slowly away | 9 | 11.1% |
| Missed the break | 93 | 3.2% |
| Middle | 337 | 19.0% |
| Middle to wide | 216 | 20.8% |
| Wide | 345 | 12.2% |
Trainers to follow
| Trainer | W/R | SR | SP return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick O'Connor | 5/22 | 22.7% | -37.5% |
| Brian O'Sullivan | 5/27 | 18.5% | -76.3% |
| Jack Kennelly | 5/28 | 17.9% | -62.5% |
| Padraig Regan | 5/31 | 16.1% | -41.3% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| MILLRIDGE MAL | 9/20 | 18.05 |
| ARDFERT SAM | 8/11 | 17.56 |
| DALEROAD DECADE | 8/19 | 29.16 |
| POST ROBYN | 8/21 | 17.25 |
| ROSSTEMPLE ORIO | 7/18 | 28.08 |
| BALLINVEALA JEN | 7/18 | 28.42 |
| DALEROAD BEST | 7/20 | 28.56 |
| LABANA JET | 7/23 | 29.26 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 1,037 | 29.17s | 27.60s |
| 297m | 121 | 17.75s | 17.15s |
| 503m | 38 | 29.88s | 29.01s |
| 521m | 31 | 31.25s | 30.71s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Tralee over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Tralee track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.