What actually wins · Great Britain
What actually wins at Towcester
2,679 races, 15,047 runs and 223 meetings from 30 October 2025 to 29 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 29 October 2026.
The short version
- Trap 2 is the place to be at Towcester: it wins 20.1% of races against an even-chance 17.5%, a 15% edge over 2,608 runs.
- Trap 6 is the one to be wary of, winning 14.2% (19% below its share).
- Over 500m the draw matters most: trap 2 takes 21.7% of those races.
- Favourites win 38.4% of races at Towcester at an average 2.49 and lose money at starting price (-7.3% on level stakes).
- Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 31.9% of the time here, against 11.8% for the rest.
- A quick break wins 40.9% of the time; a slow one 6.1%.
- J M Liles is the trainer to follow at Towcester: 218 winners from 1201 runs (18.2%).
- 100.0% of the results behind these figures have been confirmed by an independent second source.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.7-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500m | 6,159 | 17.3% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.3% |
| 270m | 6,038 | 20.1% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| 460m | 2,623 | 21.1% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 11.7% |
| 712m | 189 | 21.2% | 23.5% | 21.9% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 8.0% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Towcester already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 558 | 287 | 51.4% | -14.5% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 4,517 | 1,292 | 28.6% | -16.9% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 3,614 | 594 | 16.4% | -23.7% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 3,000 | 342 | 11.4% | -22.0% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 3,358 | 167 | 5.0% | -41.0% |
How races are run
From 15,021 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 31.9% of their races here; everyone else 11.8%.
| Quick away | 1,148 | 40.9% |
| Slowly away | 2,644 | 6.1% |
| Very slowly away | 417 | 3.4% |
| Missed the break | 199 | 11.6% |
| Rails | 2,225 | 18.6% |
| Rails to middle | 2,779 | 20.0% |
| Middle | 4,636 | 18.4% |
| Middle to wide | 1,541 | 15.0% |
| Wide | 1,792 | 15.7% |
Trainers to follow
| Trainer | W/R | SR | SP return |
|---|---|---|---|
| J M Liles | 218/1201 | 18.2% | -23.8% |
| N J Deas | 216/1233 | 17.5% | -26.3% |
| D D Porter | 210/1336 | 15.7% | -27.9% |
| P H Harnden | 177/1002 | 17.7% | -25.0% |
| F J Gray | 159/752 | 21.1% | -24.8% |
| L G Tuffin | 142/767 | 18.5% | -23.3% |
| A Welch | 117/836 | 14.0% | -32.0% |
| A M Kibble | 111/519 | 21.4% | -14.1% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| MIAMI MISSION | 10/28 | 15.63 |
| ADAMANT FINN | 10/32 | 28.98 |
| SALACRES SEREN | 9/20 | 15.80 |
| SALACRES JOJO | 9/29 | 15.94 |
| CRAGBRIEN FIRE | 9/30 | 15.92 |
| TRAPSTYLE SPUD | 9/30 | 15.72 |
| SALACRES NANDO | 9/31 | 15.85 |
| CHOICES BRONTE | 9/35 | 16.39 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 500m | 1,090 | 29.62s | 28.14s |
| 270m | 1,061 | 16.25s | 15.16s |
| 460m | 468 | 27.24s | 26.22s |
| 712m | 34 | 43.29s | 42.17s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Towcester over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 100.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Towcester track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.