Every figure on this page is a simulated paper result at the real Starting Price — no cherry-picking. Losing systems and losing months stay on the board, because that honesty is the product.
Weekly numbers carry a ±95% confidence band: at ~500 bets a week, pure noise is worth ±7–8 percentage points. A green week can be luck, and a red month can hide a real edge.
Updated 2026-09-14 06:06 UTC
Simulated / paper · for research & education · not betting advice
Dog drawn in a trap with extreme 180-day track-level bias (weighted z >= 2, >= 300 runs).
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 82 | -13.4% ±35.5 | |
| 2026-36 | 43 | -39.3% ±53.3 | |
| 2026-35 | 207 | -11.5% ±24.8 | |
| 2026-34 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-33 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-32 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-31 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-30 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-29 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-28 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-27 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-26 | 0 | — |
Fastest mean of last 3 times at today's track+distance relative to the 180-day median winning time; >= 0.30s clear of the field.
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 25 | -35.0% ±55.7 | |
| 2026-36 | 22 | -16.3% ±41.3 | |
| 2026-35 | 44 | -15.6% ±43.6 | |
| 2026-34 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-33 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-32 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-31 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-30 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-29 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-28 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-27 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-26 | 0 | — |
Last run was in a higher class than today's grade.
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 103 | -32.2% ±30.1 | |
| 2026-36 | 89 | -17.2% ±37.9 | |
| 2026-35 | 246 | -35.6% ±20.8 | |
| 2026-34 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-33 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-32 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-31 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-30 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-29 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-28 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-27 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-26 | 0 | — |
5-9 days rest and >= +0.8kg weight gain between the last two weighed runs; single qualifier per race.
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 36 | -62.2% ±36.4 | |
| 2026-36 | 20 | -38.8% ±66.4 | |
| 2026-35 | 53 | -22.2% ±48.0 | |
| 2026-34 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-33 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-32 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-31 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-30 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-29 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-28 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-27 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-26 | 0 | — |
Best average first-bend position over last 3 runs (avg <= 1.8, >= 0.5 clear of the field).
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 98 | -29.2% ±33.8 | |
| 2026-36 | 75 | -33.9% ±36.0 | |
| 2026-35 | 219 | -35.9% ±22.9 | |
| 2026-34 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-33 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-32 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-31 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-30 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-29 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-28 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-27 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-26 | 0 | — |
>= 5 career runs at today's exact distance, win rate >= 25% and >= 2x the dog's win rate elsewhere.
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 127 | -0.5% ±48.1 | |
| 2026-36 | 127 | -31.0% ±34.0 | |
| 2026-35 | 373 | -30.0% ±17.7 | |
| 2026-34 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-33 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-32 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-31 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-30 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-29 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-28 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-27 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-26 | 0 | — |
Legacy Denis Speed model tracker (forecast-price pick family).
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 31 | -4.9% ±50.9 | |
| 2026-36 | 21 | -71.4% ±56.0 | |
| 2026-35 | 140 | -17.1% ±28.1 | |
| 2026-34 | 539 | +1.3% ±16.8 | |
| 2026-33 | 659 | -7.2% ±13.2 | |
| 2026-32 | 794 | -13.5% ±12.3 | |
| 2026-31 | 781 | -18.9% ±12.2 | |
| 2026-30 | 799 | -17.8% ±12.3 | |
| 2026-29 | 789 | -4.1% ±13.4 | |
| 2026-28 | 692 | -16.3% ±13.1 | |
| 2026-27 | 835 | -21.3% ±11.4 | |
| 2026-26 | 530 | -35.0% ±14.2 |
Legacy Denis v2 model tracker (forecast-price pick family).
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 25 | -53.5% ±52.9 | |
| 2026-36 | 34 | -3.1% ±54.0 | |
| 2026-35 | 272 | -6.2% ±19.7 | |
| 2026-34 | 640 | -11.2% ±13.2 | |
| 2026-33 | 663 | -0.0% ±13.9 | |
| 2026-32 | 779 | -10.5% ±12.8 | |
| 2026-31 | 773 | -19.0% ±11.7 | |
| 2026-30 | 772 | -23.3% ±12.0 | |
| 2026-29 | 725 | -12.9% ±16.0 | |
| 2026-28 | 462 | -16.7% ±14.7 | |
| 2026-27 | 808 | -23.5% ±12.5 | |
| 2026-26 | 523 | -21.2% ±16.9 |
Legacy fastest-recent-time rank-1 tracker.
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 24 | -53.3% ±45.0 | |
| 2026-36 | 31 | +2.4% ±63.1 | |
| 2026-35 | 127 | -5.0% ±31.8 | |
| 2026-34 | 401 | -10.9% ±17.0 | |
| 2026-33 | 455 | -5.0% ±20.4 | |
| 2026-32 | 543 | -27.7% ±13.3 | |
| 2026-31 | 564 | -10.4% ±15.6 | |
| 2026-30 | 544 | -11.3% ±20.4 | |
| 2026-29 | 520 | -21.6% ±15.9 | |
| 2026-28 | 297 | +0.2% ±27.4 | |
| 2026-27 | 594 | -26.5% ±12.9 | |
| 2026-26 | 389 | -33.0% ±15.5 |
Legacy Denis ensemble EV tracker (no new bets since 2026-06-14).
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-36 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-35 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-34 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-33 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-32 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-31 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-30 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-29 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-28 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-27 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-26 | 0 | — |
Legacy bend-improver selections (live tracker halted).
| Week | Bets | ROI ±95% | ROI ±95% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-38 | 0 | — | |
| 2026-37 | 878 | -30.8% ±11.3 | |
| 2026-36 | 887 | -41.1% ±9.9 | |
| 2026-35 | 675 | -26.1% ±13.6 | |
| 2026-34 | 690 | -19.2% ±16.3 | |
| 2026-33 | 598 | -30.0% ±12.3 | |
| 2026-32 | 727 | -16.9% ±13.3 | |
| 2026-31 | 689 | -8.7% ±14.3 | |
| 2026-30 | 703 | -26.8% ±13.8 | |
| 2026-29 | 713 | -36.6% ±11.5 | |
| 2026-28 | 590 | -30.7% ±15.1 | |
| 2026-27 | 715 | -37.2% ±11.0 | |
| 2026-26 | 434 | -32.2% ±18.6 |