What actually wins · Ireland
What actually wins at Kilkenny
857 races, 5,115 runs and 78 meetings from 30 October 2025 to 28 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 28 October 2026.
The short version
- There is no trap worth backing blind at Kilkenny: every box wins within 15% of its even-chance share over 5,115 runs.
- Favourites win 29.9% of races at Kilkenny at an average 3.3 and lose money at starting price (-8.1% on level stakes).
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 6.0-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 5,097 | 18.4% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 16.6% |
| 663m | 18 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Kilkenny already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 70 | 36 | 51.4% | -14.8% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 955 | 231 | 24.2% | -24.9% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 1,857 | 281 | 15.1% | -30.3% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 1,178 | 127 | 10.8% | -27.0% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 410 | 17 | 4.1% | -58.2% |
How races are run
From 5,109 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 77.8% of their races here; everyone else 16.6%.
| Quick away | 55 | 87.3% |
| Level break | 14 | 0.0% |
| Slowly away | 368 | 1.1% |
| Very slowly away | 60 | 1.7% |
| Missed the break | 136 | 2.2% |
| Wide | 22 | 0.0% |
Trainers to follow
| Trainer | W/R | SR | SP return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Ramsbottom | 14/27 | 51.9% | +57.5% |
| Gordon Rotheram | 7/35 | 20.0% | -25.0% |
| Murt Leahy | 5/31 | 16.1% | -34.1% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| BALLYGUR VERNON | 9/21 | 28.52 |
| DA BOULD JOHNJOE | 9/25 | 28.66 |
| KILGRANEY NIKE | 9/28 | 28.70 |
| GIDDYUP JOE | 9/32 | 29.18 |
| RAYS CHOICE | 9/32 | 29.14 |
| ABIGAILS MAX | 9/32 | 29.20 |
| SWIFT SAVER | 8/24 | 28.75 |
| ACES ALF | 8/28 | 29.06 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 854 | 29.85s | 28.61s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Kilkenny over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Kilkenny track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.