What actually wins · Ireland
What actually wins at Limerick
829 races, 4,915 runs and 77 meetings from 13 September 2025 to 12 September 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 12 September 2026.
The short version
- Trap 1 is the place to be at Limerick: it wins 28.1% of races against an even-chance 16.8%, a 67% edge over 827 runs.
- Trap 6 is the one to be wary of, winning 12.1% (28% below its share).
- Over 480m the draw matters most: trap 1 takes 25.0% of those races.
- Favourites win 33.0% of races at Limerick at an average 3.23 and pay their way (+1.5% on level stakes).
- A quick break wins 34.5% of the time; a slow one 5.0%.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 6.0-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 4,427 | 25.0% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% |
| 503m | 101 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 23.5% | 47.1% | 5.9% | 17.6% |
| 686m | 42 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 71.4% | 0.0% | 14.3% |
| 526m | 41 | 0.0% | 42.9% | 14.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Limerick already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 24 | 15 | 62.5% | +11.4% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 1,155 | 307 | 26.6% | -18.7% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 1,974 | 241 | 12.2% | -44.7% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 775 | 61 | 7.9% | -47.6% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 262 | 16 | 6.1% | -37.8% |
How races are run
From 4,868 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 24.0% of their races here; everyone else 16.8%.
| Quick away | 388 | 34.5% |
| Level break | 1,297 | 1.3% |
| Slowly away | 377 | 5.0% |
| Very slowly away | 4 | 0.0% |
| Missed the break | 74 | 2.7% |
| Middle | 2 | 0.0% |
| Wide | 18 | 11.1% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| TYRAP NOEL | 9/21 | 28.59 |
| KEVINSFORT TRUMP | 8/12 | 28.51 |
| PETES NOAH | 8/27 | 29.12 |
| BALLINULTY TEX | 8/27 | 29.12 |
| THUNDERIN MINNIE | 7/15 | 29.37 |
| LEAMANEIGH GODES | 7/16 | 28.54 |
| FREDAS JET | 7/22 | 29.60 |
| MOJOE EXPRESS | 7/22 | 28.91 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 743 | 29.13s | 27.87s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Limerick over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Limerick track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.