What actually wins · Ireland
What actually wins at Mullingar
873 races, 5,079 runs and 95 meetings from 13 September 2025 to 11 September 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 11 September 2026.
The short version
- Trap 6 is the one to be wary of, winning 14.5% (15% below its share).
- Favourites win 23.7% of races at Mullingar at an average 3.37 and lose money at starting price (-22.6% on level stakes).
- A quick break wins 41.8% of the time; a slow one 2.4%.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.8-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 4,556 | 18.6% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| 320m | 199 | 21.2% | 11.8% | 27.3% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| 503m | 130 | 14.3% | 22.7% | 22.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 22.7% |
| 549m | 108 | 10.5% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 5.6% | 27.8% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Mullingar already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 11 | 8 | 72.7% | +16.8% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 1,110 | 206 | 18.6% | -41.7% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 1,743 | 235 | 13.5% | -38.0% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 957 | 88 | 9.2% | -38.3% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 327 | 15 | 4.6% | -50.3% |
How races are run
From 5,067 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 35.8% of their races here; everyone else 16.8%.
| Quick away | 177 | 41.8% |
| Level break | 1,310 | 4.7% |
| Slowly away | 589 | 2.4% |
| Very slowly away | 1 | 0.0% |
| Missed the break | 40 | 2.5% |
| Middle | 63 | 1.6% |
| Middle to wide | 10 | 10.0% |
| Wide | 275 | 4.0% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| DREAMFYRE | 10/25 | 29.19 |
| DRINANE PIPPA | 9/21 | 28.86 |
| KUMA TARGARYEN | 8/18 | 29.19 |
| PAT THE DOC | 8/19 | 28.87 |
| BAWN MONK | 8/27 | 28.99 |
| HOME RIAN | 8/28 | 29.21 |
| COOLDERRY KATE | 7/20 | 21.70 |
| HOME OONAGH | 7/22 | 29.05 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 780 | 30.05s | 28.96s |
| 320m | 35 | 19.49s | 19.16s |
| 503m | 22 | 31.06s | 30.41s |
| 549m | 20 | 33.92s | 32.95s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Mullingar over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Mullingar track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.