What actually wins · Ireland
What actually wins at Shelbourne Park
917 races, 5,393 runs and 91 meetings from 13 September 2025 to 12 September 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 12 September 2026.
The short version
- Trap 1 is the place to be at Shelbourne Park: it wins 29.2% of races against an even-chance 16.9%, a 73% edge over 906 runs.
- Trap 6 is the one to be wary of, winning 12.9% (24% below its share).
- Over 480m the draw matters most: trap 1 takes 24.8% of those races.
- Over 503m the draw matters most: trap 1 takes 23.2% of those races.
- Favourites win 39.5% of races at Shelbourne Park at an average 2.34 and lose money at starting price (-10.9% on level stakes).
- Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 78.0% of the time here, against 14.7% for the rest.
- A quick break wins 35.2% of the time; a slow one 0.2%.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.9-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 3,331 | 24.8% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
| 503m | 1,098 | 23.2% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 18.6% |
| 526m | 279 | 32.6% | 23.9% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% |
| 320m | 185 | 26.7% | 24.1% | 6.5% | 31.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Shelbourne Park already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 219 | 116 | 53.0% | -15.3% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 1,426 | 413 | 29.0% | -18.7% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 1,695 | 242 | 14.3% | -35.4% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 1,272 | 116 | 9.1% | -40.3% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 779 | 35 | 4.5% | -44.6% |
How races are run
From 5,332 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 78.0% of their races here; everyone else 14.7%.
| Quick away | 125 | 35.2% |
| Level break | 431 | 1.2% |
| Slowly away | 559 | 0.2% |
| Very slowly away | 189 | 0.0% |
| Missed the break | 57 | 3.5% |
| Middle | 53 | 1.9% |
| Middle to wide | 9 | 0.0% |
| Wide | 123 | 2.4% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| BALLYMAC KAMALA | 10/18 | 27.89 |
| SLEIGHT OF HAND | 9/15 | 28.73 |
| DRUMCROW MCELROY | 8/14 | 28.47 |
| WI CAN JAMES | 8/15 | 27.88 |
| BOUNCING MONARCH | 7/8 | 29.08 |
| DROICHEAD NUA | 7/21 | 28.29 |
| SHANAHEE BOOMER | 6/9 | 28.10 |
| HARVARD SQUARE | 6/13 | 28.29 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 561 | 28.61s | 27.87s |
| 503m | 186 | 29.55s | 29.05s |
| 526m | 48 | 31.27s | 30.62s |
| 320m | 32 | 18.66s | 18.30s |
| 686m | 24 | 42.03s | 41.01s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Shelbourne Park over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Shelbourne Park track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.