What actually wins · Ireland

What actually wins at Shelbourne Park

1,031 races, 6,030 runs and 110 meetings from 30 October 2025 to 27 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 27 October 2026.

The short version

  • Trap 1 is the place to be at Shelbourne Park: it wins 26.6% of races against an even-chance 17.0%, a 56% edge over 1,015 runs.
  • Trap 6 is the one to be wary of, winning 13.5% (21% below its share).
  • Over 480m the draw matters most: trap 1 takes 26.0% of those races.
  • Over 503m the draw matters most: trap 1 takes 22.9% of those races.
  • Favourites win 42.4% of races at Shelbourne Park at an average 2.33 and lose money at starting price (-4.1% on level stakes).
  • Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 76.0% of the time here, against 14.7% for the rest.
  • A quick break wins 35.4% of the time; a slow one 0.3%.

Trap bias

Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.9-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.

26.6%Trap 118.5%Trap 215.0%Trap 315.3%Trap 413.8%Trap 513.5%Trap 6even chance 17%
DistanceRunsT1T2T3T4T5T6
480m3,92426.0%18.1%15.1%16.6%14.1%12.4%
503m1,11222.9%18.8%16.2%11.5%13.0%20.0%
320m35533.9%15.5%11.7%21.7%11.9%8.5%
526m29928.0%24.5%14.0%10.2%12.0%13.7%

Favourites and prices

Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Shelbourne Park already prices that band tighter than it wins.

Favourite wins
42.4%
1,030 races with SP
Average fav price
2.33
decimal
Fav return at SP
-4.1%
level stakes
Starting priceRunsWinsStrike rateReturn
evens or shorter24713454.3%-12.8%
2/1 – 3/11,62147729.4%-18.6%
3/1 – 5/11,90726513.9%-37.7%
5/1 – 8/11,3981228.7%-42.4%
8/1 and bigger849344.0%-52.2%

How races are run

From 5,965 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.

Early pace

Dogs noted for early pace won 76.0% of their races here; everyone else 14.7%.

Quick away13035.4%
Level break6281.8%
Slowly away6270.3%
Very slowly away1810.6%
Missed the break702.9%
Running line
Middle1219.1%
Middle to wide70.0%
Wide1303.1%

Trainers to follow

TrainerW/RSRSP return
Graham Holland17/4537.8%+38.5%
Murt Leahy9/4320.9%-29.2%
Paul Hennessy8/4418.2%-33.5%
Neilus O'Connell7/2035.0%+31.2%
Barry Clancy7/2528.0%-28.3%
Liam Dowling7/3520.0%-27.2%
Robert G. Gleeson6/2030.0%-15.8%
Patrick Guilfoyle5/2025.0%-53.8%

Dogs that win here

DogW/RBest
SILENT NOELLE10/1728.15
BALLYMAC KAMALA8/1527.89
SWORDS STYLE7/1128.23
WAITINGFORASTAR7/1228.25
WI CAN JAMES7/1327.88
BOUNCING MONARCH6/729.08
BALLYMAC SETANTA6/718.35
FANCY FADA6/828.53

Track pars

The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.

TripRacesMedian winFastest
480m66628.60s27.87s
503m19029.55s29.05s
320m6118.75s18.30s
526m5131.27s30.62s
686m2942.02s41.01s
549m2432.34s31.88s

How this page is made

Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Shelbourne Park over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.

Today's card and recent results: Shelbourne Park track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.

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