What actually wins · Ireland
What actually wins at Thurles
484 races, 2,842 runs and 48 meetings from 29 October 2025 to 17 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 17 October 2026.
The short version
- Trap 4 is the place to be at Thurles: it wins 19.6% of races against an even-chance 17.0%, a 15% edge over 474 runs.
- Over 480m the draw matters most: trap 4 takes 20.6% of those races.
- Favourites win 31.9% of races at Thurles at an average 3.19 and lose money at starting price (-13.4% on level stakes).
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.9-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 2,562 | 19.4% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
| 521m | 190 | 12.5% | 32.3% | 15.6% | 6.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| 302m | 90 | 13.3% | 26.7% | 26.7% | 20.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Thurles already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 19 | 16 | 84.2% | +39.9% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 563 | 144 | 25.6% | -27.6% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 893 | 85 | 9.5% | -56.8% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 305 | 27 | 8.9% | -40.2% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 108 | 8 | 7.4% | -16.7% |
How races are run
From 2,721 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 100.0% of their races here; everyone else 17.4%.
| Quick away | 7 | 42.9% |
| Level break | 834 | 14.1% |
| Slowly away | 461 | 7.6% |
| Very slowly away | 27 | 3.7% |
| Missed the break | 3 | 0.0% |
| Middle | 3 | 33.3% |
| Middle to wide | 1 | 0.0% |
| Wide | 91 | 13.2% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| ASHLEEN SUBLIME | 9/15 | 28.40 |
| TEXT AMIRIGHT | 8/12 | 28.37 |
| SWIFT JAGRATI | 8/19 | 28.95 |
| CABRA KEISER | 7/18 | 28.75 |
| MY OLD FRIEND | 6/11 | 28.80 |
| CARNEYS FIRMINO | 6/21 | 28.94 |
| MEMORIES FUTURE | 5/5 | 28.94 |
| LISDALEEN MONA | 5/10 | 29.06 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 437 | 29.63s | 28.63s |
| 521m | 32 | 31.85s | 30.16s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Thurles over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Thurles track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.