What actually wins · Great Britain

What actually wins at Valley

1,609 races, 8,579 runs and 116 meetings from 13 September 2025 to 10 September 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 10 September 2026.

The short version

  • Trap 6 is the place to be at Valley: it wins 21.7% of races against an even-chance 18.1%, a 20% edge over 1,257 runs.
  • Over 260m the draw matters most: trap 6 takes 23.4% of those races.
  • Over 460m the draw matters most: trap 1 takes 24.4% of those races.
  • Favourites win 42.7% of races at Valley at an average 2.14 and lose money at starting price (-9.6% on level stakes).
  • Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 25.8% of the time here, against 15.9% for the rest.
  • A quick break wins 45.9% of the time; a slow one 3.6%.
  • A N J Morgan is the trainer to follow at Valley: 454 winners from 2718 runs (16.7%).
  • 99.7% of the results behind these figures have been confirmed by an independent second source.

Trap bias

Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.5-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.

20.3%Trap 117.3%Trap 217.9%Trap 316.1%Trap 419.8%Trap 521.7%Trap 6even chance 18.1%
DistanceRunsT1T2T3T4T5T6
260m4,88217.1%16.6%18.5%16.5%19.0%23.4%
460m3,63224.4%18.0%17.2%15.6%20.6%19.6%
645m6540.0%25.0%8.3%10.0%33.3%11.1%

Favourites and prices

Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Valley already prices that band tighter than it wins.

Favourite wins
42.7%
1,608 races with SP
Average fav price
2.14
decimal
Fav return at SP
-9.6%
level stakes
Starting priceRunsWinsStrike rateReturn
evens or shorter73736349.3%-18.0%
2/1 – 3/12,48369428.0%-22.5%
3/1 – 5/11,60528317.6%-17.3%
5/1 – 8/11,9201919.9%-29.1%
8/1 and bigger1,832754.1%-46.3%

How races are run

From 8,376 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.

Early pace

Dogs noted for early pace won 25.8% of their races here; everyone else 15.9%.

Quick away1,11245.9%
Slowly away1,3813.6%
Very slowly away244.2%
Missed the break478.5%
Running line
Rails1,85113.0%
Rails to middle36024.2%
Middle2,73116.3%
Middle to wide17521.7%
Wide2,32319.4%

Trainers to follow

TrainerW/RSRSP return
A N J Morgan454/271816.7%-25.1%
D S Davy224/95423.5%-22.3%
C Darch206/84924.3%-16.4%
A L Jeffery172/83320.6%-22.0%
J A Danahar124/71717.3%-16.9%
A G Rawlings106/44823.7%-9.4%
P T Maynard95/41323.0%-16.3%
G C Wright39/17122.8%-28.3%

Dogs that win here

DogW/RBest
CODING14/3916.14
FASTLANE GEORGE12/2215.75
HAWKFIELD BLITZ12/4716.22
CLONGEEL BONO11/2716.36
ASHWAY BLASTOFF11/2915.94
CROKERS CIAN11/3316.82
HAWKFIELD ELVIS11/3828.77
BURKOS DELANEY11/3916.10

Track pars

The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.

TripRacesMedian winFastest
260m87816.51s15.63s
460m67029.02s28.03s

How this page is made

Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Valley over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 99.7% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.

Today's card and recent results: Valley track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.

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