What actually wins · Ireland
What actually wins at Waterford
864 races, 5,126 runs and 81 meetings from 30 October 2025 to 29 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 29 October 2026.
The short version
- Trap 3 is the place to be at Waterford: it wins 27.0% of races against an even-chance 16.8%, a 61% edge over 856 runs.
- Trap 5 is the one to be wary of, winning 12.1% (28% below its share).
- Over 480m the draw matters most: trap 3 takes 26.7% of those races.
- Favourites win 26.9% of races at Waterford at an average 3.27 and lose money at starting price (-14.8% on level stakes).
- A quick break wins 47.2% of the time; a slow one 4.3%.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 6.0-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 4,783 | 16.4% | 15.3% | 26.7% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% |
| 668m | 119 | 9.5% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 10.0% | 23.8% |
| 503m | 118 | 20.0% | 10.5% | 35.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 15.0% |
| 526m | 84 | 7.1% | 14.3% | 35.7% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 21.4% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Waterford already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | -46.5% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 1,027 | 243 | 23.7% | -26.9% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 1,923 | 265 | 13.8% | -38.0% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 952 | 71 | 7.5% | -49.2% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 239 | 16 | 6.7% | -34.9% |
How races are run
From 5,102 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 10.5% of their races here; everyone else 18.9%.
| Quick away | 375 | 47.2% |
| Level break | 327 | 4.3% |
| Slowly away | 875 | 4.3% |
| Very slowly away | 27 | 0.0% |
| Missed the break | 240 | 3.8% |
| Middle | 29 | 3.4% |
| Middle to wide | 29 | 24.1% |
| Wide | 18 | 5.6% |
Trainers to follow
| Trainer | W/R | SR | SP return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Kehoe | 17/71 | 23.9% | -27.8% |
| Joe Anglim | 7/21 | 33.3% | +84.8% |
| Leo Dunphy | 5/26 | 19.2% | -41.3% |
| Gordon Rotheram | 3/25 | 12.0% | -72.7% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| PERFECTIONISM | 10/19 | 29.12 |
| SLANEYSIDE ETHAN | 10/30 | 29.33 |
| GIDDYUP BONNIE | 9/33 | 28.98 |
| HOOKY HANDICAP | 8/19 | 28.98 |
| BALLYGUR POOKIE | 8/21 | 29.01 |
| SLANEYSIDE SOLAS | 8/33 | 28.90 |
| JACKTAVERN TIGER | 7/15 | 29.21 |
| BALLYGUR MICHAEL | 7/26 | 29.22 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 480m | 804 | 29.41s | 28.23s |
| 668m | 21 | 41.28s | 40.31s |
| 503m | 20 | 30.26s | 29.30s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Waterford over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 0.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Waterford track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.