What actually wins · Great Britain
What actually wins at Harlow
3,200 races, 17,371 runs and 127 meetings from 30 October 2025 to 28 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 28 October 2026.
The short version
- Trap 6 is the place to be at Harlow: it wins 23.7% of races against an even-chance 18.1%, a 31% edge over 3,074 runs.
- Over 238m the draw matters most: trap 6 takes 23.2% of those races.
- Over 415m the draw matters most: trap 6 takes 24.3% of those races.
- Favourites win 36.5% of races at Harlow at an average 2.41 and lose money at starting price (-13.5% on level stakes).
- Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 27.1% of the time here, against 16.3% for the rest.
- A quick break wins 25.1% of the time; a slow one 5.9%.
- D R E Ellerker is the trainer to follow at Harlow: 439 winners from 2136 runs (20.6%).
- 97.1% of the results behind these figures have been confirmed by an independent second source.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.5-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238m | 9,984 | 14.6% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 23.2% |
| 415m | 7,381 | 19.0% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 24.3% |
| 592m | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Harlow already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 641 | 286 | 44.6% | -21.6% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 6,257 | 1,706 | 27.3% | -22.3% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 4,364 | 702 | 16.1% | -25.2% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 3,930 | 444 | 11.3% | -21.1% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 2,178 | 111 | 5.1% | -40.6% |
How races are run
From 17,216 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 27.1% of their races here; everyone else 16.3%.
| Quick away | 1,441 | 25.1% |
| Slowly away | 2,454 | 5.9% |
| Very slowly away | 2,247 | 3.5% |
| Missed the break | 6 | 0.0% |
| Rails | 810 | 38.4% |
| Rails to middle | 274 | 56.6% |
| Middle | 1,128 | 63.0% |
| Middle to wide | 525 | 60.6% |
| Wide | 1,298 | 30.2% |
Trainers to follow
| Trainer | W/R | SR | SP return |
|---|---|---|---|
| D R E Ellerker | 439/2136 | 20.6% | -21.6% |
| D K Hurlock | 291/1288 | 22.6% | -10.3% |
| D R Jinks | 289/1803 | 16.0% | -32.8% |
| P S Rea | 280/1366 | 20.5% | -20.0% |
| P Clarke | 264/1499 | 17.6% | -20.4% |
| S A Saberton | 257/1052 | 24.4% | -21.1% |
| D B Whitton | 229/849 | 27.0% | -12.4% |
| T J Nevin | 199/1063 | 18.7% | -32.6% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| LEATHEMS BINGO | 21/57 | 15.30 |
| COOLRUSS IZZY | 18/52 | 16.17 |
| MADDOX ROSE | 18/55 | 15.86 |
| FOR NOREEN | 17/56 | 15.19 |
| BAGGINS LAD | 16/41 | 15.19 |
| BROWNS BARBIE | 16/53 | 16.79 |
| BARAN GHOST | 15/39 | 15.53 |
| SWIFT OPEL | 15/42 | 15.37 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238m | 1,777 | 15.67s | 14.88s |
| 415m | 1,398 | 27.02s | 25.81s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Harlow over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 97.1% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Harlow track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.