What actually wins · Great Britain

What actually wins at Harlow

2,761 races, 14,979 runs and 107 meetings from 13 September 2025 to 11 September 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 11 September 2026.

The short version

  • Trap 6 is the place to be at Harlow: it wins 23.9% of races against an even-chance 18.1%, a 32% edge over 2,656 runs.
  • Trap 5 is the one to be wary of, winning 14.8% (18% below its share).
  • Over 238m the draw matters most: trap 6 takes 24.2% of those races.
  • Over 415m the draw matters most: trap 6 takes 23.5% of those races.
  • Favourites win 36.3% of races at Harlow at an average 2.42 and lose money at starting price (-13.5% on level stakes).
  • Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 26.2% of the time here, against 15.6% for the rest.
  • A quick break wins 22.9% of the time; a slow one 5.7%.
  • D R E Ellerker is the trainer to follow at Harlow: 404 winners from 1870 runs (21.6%).
  • 94.0% of the results behind these figures have been confirmed by an independent second source.

Trap bias

Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.5-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.

17.5%Trap 117.5%Trap 220.4%Trap 319.7%Trap 414.8%Trap 523.9%Trap 6even chance 18.1%
DistanceRunsT1T2T3T4T5T6
238m8,69315.0%16.5%21.7%19.2%14.7%24.2%
415m6,28020.7%18.7%18.7%20.5%14.9%23.5%
592m60.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Favourites and prices

Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Harlow already prices that band tighter than it wins.

Favourite wins
36.3%
2,761 races with SP
Average fav price
2.42
decimal
Fav return at SP
-13.5%
level stakes
Starting priceRunsWinsStrike rateReturn
evens or shorter55224744.7%-21.2%
2/1 – 3/15,4071,49227.6%-21.2%
3/1 – 5/13,73862216.6%-22.4%
5/1 – 8/13,37638911.5%-19.3%
8/1 and bigger1,9051075.6%-32.5%

How races are run

From 14,655 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.

Early pace

Dogs noted for early pace won 26.2% of their races here; everyone else 15.6%.

Quick away1,21622.9%
Slowly away2,1605.7%
Very slowly away1,9143.4%
Missed the break50.0%
Running line
Rails65538.2%
Rails to middle21962.1%
Middle92961.5%
Middle to wide40357.3%
Wide1,10628.8%

Trainers to follow

TrainerW/RSRSP return
D R E Ellerker404/187021.6%-16.9%
D R Jinks266/151717.5%-24.9%
P Clarke254/131619.3%-11.9%
D K Hurlock242/106022.8%-8.8%
S A Saberton228/87526.1%-12.8%
D B Whitton211/71729.4%-3.4%
P S Rea210/106419.7%-23.0%
D F Carter176/99217.7%-9.8%

Dogs that win here

DogW/RBest
LEATHEMS BINGO22/5415.30
COOLRUSS IZZY19/4716.44
DEVON RUTH18/4426.44
MADDOX ROSE17/5015.86
BROWNS BARBIE16/4516.79
BAGGINS LAD15/3715.19
SPADE WORK14/5215.35
BARRINGTON CHAP14/5415.15

Track pars

The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.

TripRacesMedian winFastest
238m1,55015.68s14.89s
415m1,18627.02s25.81s

How this page is made

Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Harlow over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 94.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.

Today's card and recent results: Harlow track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.

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