What actually wins · Great Britain
What actually wins at Kinsley
1,884 races, 10,774 runs and 156 meetings from 29 October 2025 to 28 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 28 October 2026.
The short version
- Trap 3 is the place to be at Kinsley: it wins 19.7% of races against an even-chance 17.2%, a 15% edge over 1,817 runs.
- Favourites win 34.8% of races at Kinsley at an average 2.9 and pay their way (+2.1% on level stakes).
- Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 24.2% of the time here, against 15.9% for the rest.
- A quick break wins 47.7% of the time; a slow one 6.4%.
- W M Lyons is the trainer to follow at Kinsley: 512 winners from 2887 runs (17.7%).
- 100.0% of the results behind these figures have been confirmed by an independent second source.
Trap bias
Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.8-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.
| Distance | Runs | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 462m | 6,352 | 16.1% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 18.7% |
| 268m | 4,422 | 19.6% | 19.0% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
Favourites and prices
Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Kinsley already prices that band tighter than it wins.
| Starting price | Runs | Wins | Strike rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| evens or shorter | 76 | 42 | 55.3% | -2.7% |
| 2/1 – 3/1 | 3,360 | 936 | 27.9% | -14.3% |
| 3/1 – 5/1 | 3,413 | 572 | 16.8% | -21.9% |
| 5/1 – 8/1 | 2,433 | 243 | 10.0% | -31.6% |
| 8/1 and bigger | 1,492 | 94 | 6.3% | -30.0% |
How races are run
From 10,733 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.
Dogs noted for early pace won 24.2% of their races here; everyone else 15.9%.
| Quick away | 1,693 | 47.7% |
| Slowly away | 1,289 | 6.4% |
| Very slowly away | 96 | 0.0% |
| Missed the break | 192 | 0.0% |
| Rails | 2 | 0.0% |
| Middle | 16 | 31.2% |
| Wide | 14 | 14.3% |
Trainers to follow
| Trainer | W/R | SR | SP return |
|---|---|---|---|
| W M Lyons | 512/2887 | 17.7% | -20.7% |
| I Zivkovic | 316/1923 | 16.4% | -27.4% |
| T D Coote | 215/1090 | 19.7% | -17.8% |
| J S Atkins | 152/807 | 18.8% | -15.4% |
| J G Hurst | 149/795 | 18.7% | -21.6% |
| J Robinson | 148/854 | 17.3% | -18.0% |
| M N May | 119/693 | 17.2% | -25.3% |
| B Heaton | 98/643 | 15.2% | -32.0% |
Dogs that win here
| Dog | W/R | Best |
|---|---|---|
| LIGHTFOOT ELLE | 14/31 | 16.05 |
| USE THE CLOCK | 14/40 | 16.35 |
| DROMANA MILO | 13/36 | 16.77 |
| DEECEE KARA | 13/44 | 16.48 |
| HAZELGROVE PEARL | 13/49 | 16.27 |
| MONROE MARLEY | 12/30 | 16.12 |
| SWIFT ECOLOGY | 12/45 | 16.42 |
| BETWEENTHE LINES | 12/46 | 27.77 |
Track pars
The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.
| Trip | Races | Median win | Fastest |
|---|---|---|---|
| 462m | 1,094 | 28.37s | 27.37s |
| 268m | 761 | 16.53s | 15.88s |
How this page is made
Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Kinsley over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 100.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.
Today's card and recent results: Kinsley track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.