What actually wins · Great Britain

What actually wins at Monmore

2,270 races, 12,774 runs and 156 meetings from 13 September 2025 to 12 September 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 12 September 2026.

The short version

  • Trap 1 is the place to be at Monmore: it wins 21.2% of races against an even-chance 17.6%, a 20% edge over 2,245 runs.
  • Over 480m the draw matters most: trap 1 takes 21.6% of those races.
  • Favourites win 38.5% of races at Monmore at an average 2.48 and lose money at starting price (-9.1% on level stakes).
  • Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 27.1% of the time here, against 14.8% for the rest.
  • A quick break wins 40.9% of the time; a slow one 4.3%.
  • R Taberner is the trainer to follow at Monmore: 309 winners from 1493 runs (20.7%).
  • 99.2% of the results behind these figures have been confirmed by an independent second source.

Trap bias

Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.7-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.

21.2%Trap 115.6%Trap 219.8%Trap 317.8%Trap 416.9%Trap 516.5%Trap 6even chance 17.6%
DistanceRunsT1T2T3T4T5T6
480m8,43421.6%15.1%19.8%17.7%16.9%17.4%
264m3,87920.1%16.6%19.8%18.5%16.4%14.5%
630m34220.3%15.5%17.2%13.8%20.8%19.6%
684m9125.0%20.0%18.8%0.0%26.7%12.5%

Favourites and prices

Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Monmore already prices that band tighter than it wins.

Favourite wins
38.5%
2,270 races with SP
Average fav price
2.48
decimal
Fav return at SP
-9.1%
level stakes
Starting priceRunsWinsStrike rateReturn
evens or shorter42521951.5%-14.7%
2/1 – 3/13,9371,13328.8%-17.1%
3/1 – 5/13,02552117.2%-19.5%
5/1 – 8/12,49327711.1%-24.3%
8/1 and bigger2,8931465.0%-37.5%

How races are run

From 12,672 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.

Early pace

Dogs noted for early pace won 27.1% of their races here; everyone else 14.8%.

Quick away1,81640.9%
Slowly away1,9254.3%
Very slowly away410.0%
Missed the break1,8114.1%
Running line
Rails3,48217.6%
Rails to middle49421.5%
Middle3,26319.9%
Middle to wide39522.0%
Wide2,61217.8%

Trainers to follow

TrainerW/RSRSP return
R Taberner309/149320.7%-19.1%
K Billingham-hine240/121519.8%-20.5%
J B Thompson235/117919.9%-22.1%
C S Fereday207/112318.4%-21.1%
C D Marston185/102918.0%-15.2%
N J Hunt140/71719.5%-16.0%
P I Cowdrill135/83216.2%-18.3%
P A Curtin115/64517.8%-24.8%

Dogs that win here

DogW/RBest
WISE TOURNAMENT10/1728.01
TULLYMURRY INDIA10/2312.77
DEAL FOR TWO10/2615.59
HOLLYWELL MAVE10/2917.27
NEWINN BACHELOR9/1612.55
RUINTHELONGGAME9/2715.12
RACE WITH BELLE9/2715.80
AERO WALSH9/2915.50

Track pars

The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.

TripRacesMedian winFastest
480m1,50729.10s27.79s
264m67315.80s15.07s
630m6138.17s37.26s

How this page is made

Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Monmore over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 99.2% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.

Today's card and recent results: Monmore track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.