What actually wins · Great Britain

What actually wins at Towcester

2,667 races, 14,978 runs and 222 meetings from 29 October 2025 to 27 October 2026. Recomputed from the results as they arrive; last racing counted 27 October 2026.

The short version

  • Trap 2 is the place to be at Towcester: it wins 20.1% of races against an even-chance 17.5%, a 15% edge over 2,596 runs.
  • Trap 6 is the one to be wary of, winning 14.0% (20% below its share).
  • Over 500m the draw matters most: trap 2 takes 21.7% of those races.
  • Favourites win 38.4% of races at Towcester at an average 2.49 and lose money at starting price (-7.5% on level stakes).
  • Early pace is decisive: dogs the stewards note as showing early pace win 31.9% of the time here, against 11.8% for the rest.
  • A quick break wins 40.8% of the time; a slow one 6.1%.
  • J M Liles is the trainer to follow at Towcester: 218 winners from 1195 runs (18.2%).
  • 100.0% of the results behind these figures have been confirmed by an independent second source.

Trap bias

Win rate by trap over every race in the window, against the even-chance share for a 5.7-runner field. A bar well above the dashed line is a draw the track favours; how far above is the size of the edge.

19.1%Trap 120.1%Trap 218.5%Trap 318.2%Trap 416.5%Trap 514.0%Trap 6even chance 17.5%
DistanceRunsT1T2T3T4T5T6
500m6,12617.4%21.7%17.9%18.3%17.2%14.3%
270m6,02620.2%17.9%18.9%18.7%15.3%15.0%
460m2,59921.0%21.0%18.8%16.7%17.5%11.3%
712m18921.2%23.5%21.9%15.2%15.6%8.0%

Favourites and prices

Strike rate and level-stakes return at starting price. A negative return means the market at Towcester already prices that band tighter than it wins.

Favourite wins
38.4%
2,667 races with SP
Average fav price
2.49
decimal
Fav return at SP
-7.5%
level stakes
Starting priceRunsWinsStrike rateReturn
evens or shorter55828751.4%-14.5%
2/1 – 3/14,4941,28228.5%-17.2%
3/1 – 5/13,59459316.5%-23.4%
5/1 – 8/12,98734111.4%-21.9%
8/1 and bigger3,3451675.0%-40.7%

How races are run

From 14,952 stewards' comments parsed into how each dog broke, where it ran and whether it showed early pace.

Early pace

Dogs noted for early pace won 31.9% of their races here; everyone else 11.8%.

Quick away1,14240.8%
Slowly away2,6356.1%
Very slowly away4173.4%
Missed the break19911.6%
Running line
Rails2,21018.7%
Rails to middle2,77220.0%
Middle4,61518.4%
Middle to wide1,53014.8%
Wide1,78815.7%

Trainers to follow

TrainerW/RSRSP return
J M Liles218/119518.2%-23.4%
N J Deas216/123317.5%-26.3%
D D Porter207/132915.6%-28.5%
P H Harnden177/100217.7%-25.0%
F J Gray159/75121.2%-24.7%
L G Tuffin141/75918.6%-23.6%
A Welch117/83614.0%-32.0%
A M Kibble110/50921.6%-13.0%

Dogs that win here

DogW/RBest
MIAMI MISSION10/2815.63
ADAMANT FINN10/3228.98
SALACRES SEREN9/2015.80
SALACRES JOJO9/2915.94
TRAPSTYLE SPUD9/3015.72
SALACRES NANDO9/3115.85
CHOICES BRONTE9/3516.39
BRENTFORDPENGUIN8/1726.57

Track pars

The typical winning time per trip and the fastest recorded in the window. A dog whose best is near the par line is running to the standard of a winner here.

TripRacesMedian winFastest
500m1,08429.62s28.14s
270m1,05916.25s15.16s
460m46427.24s26.22s
712m3443.29s42.17s

How this page is made

Every figure is counted from the results we hold for Towcester over the last 365 days and recomputed as new results arrive, so the page is never older than the racing. Non-runners are excluded; trap shares are compared with an even chance for the average field size; returns are level stakes at the industry starting price. Running-style figures come from the stewards' comments parsed into fields. 100.0% of the results in this window have been confirmed by an independent second source — see our data quality page.

Today's card and recent results: Towcester track page. Trap bias across every track: trap statistics.

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